Tuesday, March 07, 2006

Scientists Predict Sun Will Be More Active Next Cycle


By Elaine Meinel Supkis

We know not that much about our local star, the Sun. We have many assumptions which often are little more than wishful thinking. Ditto for our galaxy. Anyway, there is great dispute about what is going on with our local star and here is a recent report claiming the sun will spit even more x-rays at us this coming Solar Cycle which is bad news on several fronts.

From Associated Press:
A new computer model suggests that the next solar cycle will be more active than the previous one, potentially spawning magnetic storms that will be more severe and disruptive to communication systems.

The next sunspot cycle will be between 30 percent to 50 percent more intense than the last one, scientists said Monday.
Global warming has several elements three of which are key: relative distance from the sun, composition of the atmosphere and how much energy the sun is producing.

For example, if the sun shuts down sunspot activity, it gets mighty cold here. The more active the sun, the hotter it gets. Add a lot of fresh CO2 to the atmosphere and you get really serious global warming. The summer of tremendous solar activity we had several years ago knocked out electricity across the planet. It also disrupted communications and it withered the trees, I know my oaks didn't like it one bit.

The causes of the great ice ages are still very sketchy. The more we learn the less we can pin down the exact causes. Since this planet and the sun are both very dynamic systems, this means there are so many variables, it is hard to know what the trigger is, exactly. All we know is, there is a definite rhythm and this pulse is probably triggered by the interaction of the sun and the seas.
The new prediction is at odds with previous forecasts, which suggested that the intensity of the next solar cycle would be measurably smaller.
I don't know about anyone else but my hair was standing on end, the last cycle. Especially the x-ray episodes.

Exploding stars spit out x-rays. Stars turning into black holes spit out x-rays. X-ray events are quite noticable and not "normal" at least, if the object is a "regular" star still. According to my father, examination of recent Greenland core samples suggest the sun spat out some really nasty x-rays back 44,000 years ago, a significant time zone. If you google that number, you get some interesting biological hits. One thing, Homosapiens came pouring out of Africa. One wonders if the extended session dried out that continent to the point, humans had to forage much further and eat many more relatives who had been chased out earlier? We still know so little.

Maybe this session of superheating started the deep melting of the glacial icepacks? This would explain all the icedam lakes that ruptured so violently over the next 10,000 years.

If the sun does become seriously active, this means global warming will shoot up much faster. This will have a host of geological effects that puny dams and buildings won't stand a chance against. Like the sea suddenly rising a dozen feet or so?

We just don't know. Well, it will be very interesting, won't it?

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